I've total respect for Channel 4 race reader Simon Holt but on Saturday afternoon, as the horses flashed past the post in the Stewards' Cup, he called Borderlescott the winner. The result of the official photo showed that in actual fact Zidane had collected the spoils by the shortest of short heads right on the line, with Borderlescott finishing second.
For a few moments the rest of the Channel 4 team seemed shocked, unable to comprehend what had happened. To be honest, I half expected the official result to be corrected, as had been the case with Jane Stickels over a year ago at Lingfield. Of course, Zidane had won fair and square.
Don't beat yourself up over it, Simon; you're still the best in the business.
Monday, August 06, 2007
Friday, August 03, 2007
Glorious Goodwood
OK, I confess. This week I've been bunking off. I haven't done my homework and I haven't followed 'Glorious Goodwood' very closely at all. It's naughty, I know, but there you go. At least I'm being honest with you.
I've just picked up The Weekender and had a quick look at the Nassau Stakes. It looks 'trappy'. Trappy is a term that's used by pundits who are far more established than me; it's a euphemism for 'don't touch this race with a bargepole'. So I'm passing on the Nassau. Peeping Fawn, the top rated horse, is tempting but her action when winning last time at The Curragh looked very rounded and I'm not certain she'll handle the better ground or the course, so I'm passing on the Nassau.
If the Nassau looked trappy, the Stewards' Cup looks positively impossible. As I haven't done the homework, let me share with you how I approached the race. Protector did this blog a favour when absolutely hacking up at Newcastle a few weeks ago. I quietly fancied Protector for this race but in between times Protector was himself easily beaten at Hamilton by Richard Fahey's Knot In Wood.
Knot In Wood goes into tomorrow's race with a number of plus points. He's 6lbs well in following the Hamilton victory as the weights had already been declared; his trainer says he's his best chance in the race and he should handle the ground; he carries less than nine stones and, thought crucial in many quarters, he's been given a high draw. That's an awful lot of plus points. On the downside, there are twenty seven others running in this annual cavalry charge over six furlongs and all the plus points appear to have been recognised by the bookmakers who have priced him at 8/1. So, the question is, does 8/1 Knot In Wood look value to you? It doesn't to me, so I'll maintain a watching brief.
I've just picked up The Weekender and had a quick look at the Nassau Stakes. It looks 'trappy'. Trappy is a term that's used by pundits who are far more established than me; it's a euphemism for 'don't touch this race with a bargepole'. So I'm passing on the Nassau. Peeping Fawn, the top rated horse, is tempting but her action when winning last time at The Curragh looked very rounded and I'm not certain she'll handle the better ground or the course, so I'm passing on the Nassau.
If the Nassau looked trappy, the Stewards' Cup looks positively impossible. As I haven't done the homework, let me share with you how I approached the race. Protector did this blog a favour when absolutely hacking up at Newcastle a few weeks ago. I quietly fancied Protector for this race but in between times Protector was himself easily beaten at Hamilton by Richard Fahey's Knot In Wood.
Knot In Wood goes into tomorrow's race with a number of plus points. He's 6lbs well in following the Hamilton victory as the weights had already been declared; his trainer says he's his best chance in the race and he should handle the ground; he carries less than nine stones and, thought crucial in many quarters, he's been given a high draw. That's an awful lot of plus points. On the downside, there are twenty seven others running in this annual cavalry charge over six furlongs and all the plus points appear to have been recognised by the bookmakers who have priced him at 8/1. So, the question is, does 8/1 Knot In Wood look value to you? It doesn't to me, so I'll maintain a watching brief.
Thursday, July 26, 2007
King George and York selections
Seven runners have been declared for the King George VI & Queen Elizabeth Stakes (4.20) at Ascot this Saturday. There's been a fair amount of media coverage during the week; the main players are Dylan Thomas, Scorpion, Maraahel and Youmzain. On form Dylan Thomas is the best horse in the race and the current favourite but Aidan O'Brien hinted earlier today (Thursday) that the horse may not take his chance as he prefers top of the ground. During the week Scorpion has been backed from 9/2 to 3/1 as the value against Dylan Thomas. Under the conditions of the race Scorpion is certainly entitled to reverse placings with Maraahel on their Royal Ascot meeting and I would expect him to do so. Last season Youmzain ran the subsequent Arc winner Rail Link to half a length in the Prix Neil at Longchamp; a repetition of that form would put him bang in there with a chance and connections have been bullish in the build-up. The horse has had a couple of excuses this season; the question is to what extent you buy into the excuses offered. A small field and a fascinating race with tactics possibly playing a part; Scorpion is the percentage call, offers value against Dylan Thomas should he take his chance, and so gets the vote.Over at York I would expect Macorville (2.40) to gain compensation for his gallant second in the Northumberland Plate and Aidan O'Brien's Eagle Mountain to take the 3.15.
Monday, July 23, 2007
Godiva maiden runs green
Friday, July 20, 2007
The Summer Plate
With today's Newbury card abandoned due to waterlogging and Saturday's seen as 'at risk', I'm assuming the ground will be on the soft side at Market Rasen tomorrow if racing goes ahead.In the past Peter Bowen has made a target of the Summer Plate (3.40) and this year looks no exception with five of the sixteen runners coming from his stable. The two I'm looking closely at are Lankawi and Iron Man - I think Tommy Spar may struggle to stay. There doesn't appear to be a lot between them; I'm guessing that Tom O'Brien has had the choice and he's gone for Lankawi as this five year old looks slightly less exposed. This is a competitive event for such a young chaser but at around 8/1 he's worth an interest. However I wouldn't put anyone off backing Iron Man each way at around 10/1, especially as Paddy Merrigan's 3lbs claim will be most useful in testing conditions.
Eighteen go to post in the ultra competitive Totescoop6 Summer Handicap Hurdle due off at 2.05. Nicky Henderson's mare Capitana won easily at Stratford last Sunday and must be in with a shout provided she handles the ground. At the bottom of the handicap, John Best's Mind How You Go won over course and distance recently and will definitely handle the ground but looks to have a bit to find.
Thursday, July 19, 2007
Authorized to miss King George
It was announced earlier today that Derby winner Authorized will miss the King George a week on Saturday following his second place to Notnowcato in the Eclipse. Obviously his withdrawal detracts from the quality of the field but it's not really that surprising a decision; the plan is to give the horse a rest with the Arc the main aim in the autumn. The Eclipse route just hasn't worked out for connections. A comment on the BBC site pointed out that, in effect, the King George was sacrificed for the gamble that was the Eclipse (and unfortunately the gamble didn't come off).Two big races in the summer jumping programme, the Summer Plate and Summer Hurdle, take place at Market Rasen on Saturday. I'll take a look at these tomorrow; the rather foreboding weather forecast means they're likely to be run on soft ground.
Monday, July 16, 2007
A racing sale
Those with more money than I have sloshing around in dormant bank accounts might be interested in the Bonhams Racing Sale which starts at 11.00 am in Tattersalls, Newmarket this Friday 20th July.I participated in a little window shopping earlier; there are some desirable looking lots, particularly amongst the pictures and the books, but I don't think Mrs Tips would be best pleased if I went and spent £600 on a set of Timeform annuals...
Saturday, July 14, 2007
Stratford and Perth selections
Three horses highlighted in the recent 'Summer jumpers' post run tomorrow, Soliya and Capitana at Stratford and Commercial Express at Perth.Soliya beat Callisto Moon six lengths over course and distance at level weights last time out; the pair renew rivalry in the juvenile hurdle at 2.00, Soliya now having to carry a 5lbs penalty. It looks a close call but I take David Pipe's Soliya to confirm the form.
Nicky Henderson's Capitana runs in a very competitive looking Coventy Telegraph Handicap Hurdle at 3.00. As the price is unlikely to offer any value for money, I'd advise abstaining on this occasion. A better value proposition here may be Hawridge King each way at 10/1 or bigger - this horse ran a decent race last time out at Hereford after a lengthy spell on the sidelines.
Up at Perth Commercial Express runs in the novice chase at 2.40 but appears to have a bit to find with Vaughan and Contact Dancer, the former getting the vote on account of his better jumping.
Friday, July 13, 2007
Ascot on Saturday
The distance of tomorrow's John Smith's Cup at York has been shortened to one mile 208 yards on account of waterlogging at the track; Saturday's card at The Curragh has been abandoned to give Sunday's Irish Oaks meeting every chance of going ahead on the soft / heavy ground; and three races at Ascot's two day meeting have been cancelled on account of false patches of ground around the ten furlong start - it's just another typical soggy July Saturday.I had intended to concentrate on the two mile race at Ascot in which Macorville and Tilt, second and third respectively in The Northumberland Plate two weeks ago, were set to renew rivalry but this is one of the cancelled races. That being the case, I've done some work on a pretty competitive looking Sony Summer Mile Stakes which is due off at 2.50.
First of all let me say I'm not overly confident the selection will deliver the goods. Cesare will be a popular choice, beaten only one and a quarter lengths in a muddling Queen Anne at Royal Ascot, and is entitled to go close. However I'll be supporting Godolphin's Echo Of Light who has had a decent break and, unlike several, comes to this fresh. The balance of his form is, in my opinion, marginally better than Cesare's and his prominent running style means his opponents will have to work hard to pass him. This is no two horse race though with Royal Oath the subject of a good gallops report and Racinger entitled to improve on his Queen Anne sixth.
A couple of the horses named in the 'Summer jumpers' post below have entries at Perth and Stratford this Sunday. I'll try to sum up their chances on Saturday evening.
Wednesday, July 11, 2007
Summer jumpers
The relatively light summer jumping programme means it takes a little less effort to keep on top of the form. Since late April I've tried to read the jumps form each week (as published in The Weekender) and in the process compile a list of horses that have been the subject of positive comments. Obviously any such list, by nature, is arbitrary and I've reproduced it here. Listed horses should at least be worth a second glance if running in the forthcoming weeks. Jump races up to Sunday July 1st have have been analysed.Mind How You Go - could go to Newton Abbot in August
Jam Packed - wins in a decent time
Kawagino - second to Jam Packed; getting better over fences?
Hellfire Club - bumper winner from Carl Llewellyn stable
Mange Tout - wins in fast time
Soliya - wins first juvenile hurdle of season
Commercial Express
Freeloader
Danehill Willy
The King Of Angels - 5yo finishing second in handicap chase
Iron Man - aimed at Market Rasen in July
Pearl King - aimed at Market Rasen hurdle in July
Capitana - second to Pearl King, pair clear
Eleazar
Ice Tea
Classic Gold - beat previous winner Dariak easily
Blandings Castle
Etoile Russe
Olmeto Collonges - H. Knight 'thinks a lot of him'; needs cut
Quirino
Saturday, July 07, 2007
Wimbledon weather
In the event we were fortunate to see two ladies' quarter finals matches and roughly forty minutes of Roger Federer's match with Juan Carlos Ferrero before the rain came, big time. It wasn't big rain, you understand, but it was the sort of rain that stops tennis being played and it was accompanied at times by a gusting wind. Initially we were informed that the rain would pass through and play in the evening was a distinct possibility. Three hours later, at 7.10pm, The Man told us he'd been kidding us all along (because it was good for business) and there would be no more play at all.
Friday, July 06, 2007
The Coral-Eclipse at Sandown

Peter Chapple-Hyam's Authorized is likely to start long odds on for The Coral-Eclipse Stakes over ten furlongs at Sandown tomorrow, and he's entitled to given the manner of his Derby victory. However Derby winners don't have a particularly good record in this race and favourites have won just two of the last ten runnings, so I'll be looking for value elsewhere.
Beforehand the press have been keen to build this race up as a clash between Authorized and George Washington. I'm undecided about George Washington following his return in the Queen Anne at Ascot last month. Some commentators felt it was a very good performance after such a long absence off the track. He's not certain to stay this trip and the doubts about his temperament persist; on balance he's one I'll pass over.
That being the case, I'm going to side with course and distance winner Notnowcato who was second in this last year. He was firmly put in his place by Manduro at Ascot but the easier going is a plus and priced at around 11/2, he's a value proposition against the front two in the betting. If eight go to post in this race Archipenko will act on the ground and offers decent each way value at around 16/1.
In the five furlong sprint at 2.05 Wi Dud is best in at the weights on official BHB ratings. He comes from stall four which looks a disadvantage, particularly on soft ground. The Sporting Life tissue prices the horse at 12/1; if you take the view that the poor stalls draw is reflected in that price, there's some each way value to be had with the horse.
Monday, July 02, 2007
Anyone for tennis?

The going at Wimbledon is currently described as soft, heavy in places. This year, as well as the ubiquitous Claire Balding, the BBC have been using Rishi Persad for certain items in their coverage - I've been expecting him to start talking about colts and fillies and mixed doubles at any moment but so far he's resisted the temptation.
I take a passing interest in the sport but, in our house, chief tennis correspondent is Mrs Tips who informs me that Wimbledon has been pretty low key so far, with more stops and starts than a 27 bus. A few months back we made our first ever application for tickets in the public ballot and were lucky enough to be allocated two centre court tickets on Thursday, Ladies' semi-finals day. Given the rain that's falling, I doubt the quarter final matches will have been completed.
In preparation for this event I invested in a sun hat, (not to be confused with my racing hat), factor 40 sun screen and a pair of new sandals. It is highly unlikely that any of these items will be required. I shall take a copy of Michael Simkins' Fatty Batter together with a copy of The Weekender to peruse as I sit sipping a Pimm's under my Wimbledon umbrella.
For the record, Mrs Tips takes Roger Federer to win the Men's Championship and thinks Justine Henin will win the Ladies' Championship, although she's supporting Amelie Mauresmo.
When I've recovered from the whole experience I'll preview this Saturday's Coral Eclipse at Sandown.
Notes from Newcastle

I've never been to Newcastle racecourse and, after the feedback I received from colleagues following their visit on Saturday, I can't say I'm really motivated to change that state of affairs.
Whilst aforementioned colleagues did reasonably well on the betting front, they were distinctly unimpressed by the course facilities. They paid £20 each for entrance to the grandstand / paddock enclosure, and felt that viewing was not particularly good, the big screen not easily visible and the PA system on several occasions inaudible. A section of this enclosure was also cordoned off as the result of building works. Going to the one main toilet facility entailed a wait of roughly twenty minutes and a trip to the bar nearer thirty. Granted, the appalling weather did nothing to help the situation; collectively they score the facilities four out of ten, with a 'must do better' added for good measure.
The final straw - the free bus back into town became stuck in the bottomless ground and everyone had to disembark to wait for taxis. It never rains but it pours.
Thursday, June 28, 2007
The Northumberland Plate

Weather permitting, 'The Pitmen's Derby' will be run at Newcastle this Saturday with a guaranteed maximum field of twenty runners. The ground is already riding soft, and there's more rain forecast, so the selection will need to stay every yard of the two mile trip to be in with any chance whatsoever.
Going through the runners earlier in the week I came up with a shorlist of three for what is traditionally a very competitive handicap; luck in running can play a big part in this race. The three are Sentry Duty, Irish raider Al Eile and the filly Juniper Girl who finished second to Full House at Ascot last week.
Jumping yards have a good record in this race. Nicky Henderson's Sentry Duty is respected but has a tough task carrying top weight. Al Eile finished fourth in the 2006 Champion Hurdle behind Brave Inca before going right out of form. However he bounced back this April winning The Aintree Hurdle, with his trainer declaring after the race that a big handicap on the Flat was a possible target over the summer. This looks the race he's been laid out for and in my opinion he's not badly handicapped. Backed at 12/1 on Tuesday and now trading at around 8/1, he goes on the ground and also has the benefit of an inside draw which has been important in this race in the past, barring last year that is.
I looked long and hard at Juniper Girl who has been allocated 9-2 and claimer Luke Morris takes off a handy looking 5lbs but the draw in berth 13 is potentially troublesome and the same comment applies to Nosferatu, the likely favourite, drawn in berth 16. Al Eile is the selection.
A car load of colleagues travel up to Newcastle tomorrow to go to this meeting - two each way longshots I've whispered quietly to the more reckless characters are Rising Shadow in the first and Protector (2.45) who was mentioned by Angus Loughran when running a decent race at 50/1 in the Wokingham last Saturday.
Monday, June 25, 2007
Losing a winning betting slip

Late Saturday afternoon I received a text from a colleague who was bemoaning his luck. He'd bet three horses each way earlier in the day at his local William Hill shop, lost his betting slip and then watched in disbelief as two of his selections, Intrepid Jack and Takeover Target, finished a close second in their respective races at Ascot.
I'm sure many of you will know this, but, for the record, the advised course of action in such circumstances is to return to the bookmaker concerned and explain the situation. In all likelihood you will be asked to write out your slip again, exactly as you had written out the original, and you should get paid.
By the way, following this course of action with losing slips, explaining you didn't mean to bet that horse, didn't work for me the last time I tried it...
Saturday, June 23, 2007
Royal Ascot review

Five winners from ten selections is my best Royal Ascot performance of all time. Generally I don't do a lot of work for this meeting (all that 'posh' stuff isn't really my cup of tea), but I put more effort in this year and it appears to have paid results. In a nutshell, here's the scorecard...
Tuesday
Benbaum each way - lost
Dutch Art win - lost
Dutch Art win - lost
Ramonti win - won 5/1
Wednesday
Nannina win - won 3/1
Manduro win - won 15/8
Thursday
Yeats win - won 8/13
Friday
Salford Mill win - lost
Darjina win - lost
Arch Swing each way - lost
Saturday
Maraahel win - won 100/30
Five winners from ten selections is a 50% strike rate; a £10 level stake investment (each way picks - £5 each way) on all selections shows a profit of £88.23, giving a ROI of 88.23% over the week. If only it were like this every week...
Friday, June 22, 2007
Royal Ascot - Saturday

I'd been doing reasonably well at this meeting until today when the wheels just came off...
It has been said many times before, and I'll say it again, many treat this occasion as a big garden party with a few races going on over in the distance somewhere, which really is a shame as the racing is first rate.
The final selection runs in the Hardwicke Stakes tomorrow which is due off at 3.05. Only eight go to post, and on paper it looks a close call between Scorpion and Maraahel. Maraahel won this last year and has a 5lb pull for a one and three quarter length defeat by Scorpion in the Coronation Cup at Epsom last time out. In theory that should be enough to reverse placings. However Scorpion looked to have a little in hand, while, going through Maraahel's form, most of his wins have come on good fast ground, so you could take a view that the rain will not have helped his cause. Scorpion is likely to be sent off a short price favourite; Maraahel is the value bet and gets the vote.
Thursday, June 21, 2007
Royal Ascot - Friday

On the phone last night my roving fashion reporter described many of the ladies' outfits at Ascot this year as 'lovely', 'nice' or 'beautiful'; some of the hats were a 'little over the top' and others just plain 'awful'.
Brilliant - that's exactly my kind of fashion reporting, a complete contrast to some of the verbiage the BBC's James Sherwood came out with on Radio Four this morning. At one point he talked about ladies who 'know how to wear a hat' - and there I was thinking the ladies in question just sat the old titfer on their barnet and proceeded to walk about underneath it.
Giles Smith, picking up on the dapper James Sherwood theme, writes in today's Times, 'The top-hatted Sherwood is taken to talking with his eyes closed, which you have to be fantastically posh to get away with.' I'm not so sure on that one, Giles; most mornings Mrs Tips tells me I was talking in my sleep the night before but I'd hardly describe my upbringing as 'posh' - we thought knives and fork were pieces of jewellery until the age of eight.
Enough of that drivel, let's get on to tomorrow's racing. Nine go to post for the King Edward VIIth Stakes due off at 3.05. The Derby form is primarily represented by Lucarno and Salford Mill. On the book Lucarno is the choice but Salford Mill came from a long way back that day and could be dangerous if ridden closer to the pace. David Elsworth's string are in good form, so Salford Mill is the selection.
In the Coronation Stakes at 3.45 likely favourite Finsceal Beo could be vulnerable after recently running three Group 1 races in three weeks. Darjina has already taken her scalp and gets the vote. Mark Winstanley was very bullish about John Oxx's Arch Swing after her second in the Guineas at Newmarket in May but the horse ran no race whatsoever last time out. I'm prepared to give this filly another chance; she makes some each way appeal at around 14/1.
Wednesday, June 20, 2007
Ladies' Day at Royal Ascot - Thursday

This is post number two hundred - I just don't know where all the time has gone...
A couple of readers have indicated that there hasn't been much Ascot fashion comment on this blog. I'm aware of this shortcoming and have taken direct steps to rectify the situation by appointing Mrs Tips' mother (aka Granny Tips in our house) as a roving reporter. I use the term 'roving' advisedly, as Granny Tips tends to rove from the living room where the TV is situated into the kitchen to make a cup of tea just about whenever the fancy takes her. Her comments will be available online later in the week.
The weather is always an issue on Ladies' Day; the BBC's five day forecast predicts heavy showers for tomorrow. I'm afraid I've just the one Ascot tip for Thursday and it's Yeats in the Gold Cup which is due off at 3.45. On all known form this horse is the winner and will be a lot of people's banker for the whole week. The result is he will start odds on but this is not a race to go looking for value elsewhere; make sure you're not tempted.
If you're not keen on betting odds on, try Venetia Williams' Kock de la Vesvre in the 7.40 at Towcester. I saw Kim Bailey's Metal Detector win very easily over the course last time out but the balance of KdlV's form looks better and his trainer has a good record at the track.
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