Friday, November 25, 2022

The 2022 Coral Gold Cup at Newbury

The Hennessy Cognac Gold Cup, known as the Ladbrokes Trophy since 2016 and now, for the first time, as the Coral Gold Cup, was first run in 1957 and boasts a long rich history. 

Sixteen have been declared; at the time of writing the going on the chase course is described as good with selective watering set to take place this evening.

Tomorrow's renewal (3.05) may lack a little in quality but the race looks wide open with layers betting 7/1 the field. 

To my mind market leaders Remastered, Gericault Roque and Le Milos would all essentially prefer more cut underfoot. 

Last year, after Remastered took a crashing fall four out when in with every chance, Cloudy Glen took up the running and had just enough left in reserve to repel the challenge of Fiddlerontheroof (Potterman pulled up).

Taking into account Fergus Gillard's three pound claim in last year's race, Remastered goes off the same mark this year (143) whereas Fiddlerontheroof starts off a mark five pounds higher (155) and sports cheekpieces for the first time. 

Remastered had wind surgery over the summer and appeared to show the benefit when winning off 132 over hurdles at Aintree at the beginning of the month. 

However stable jockey Tom Scudamore rides Gericault Roque who finished 25 lengths behind Remastered in that Aintree hurdle race...

Le Milos won well on heavy ground at Bangor 17 days ago.

Irish raider Busselton won the Guinness Kerry National at Listowel two months ago and comes into this having been placed in 11 of his 12 chase starts to date. No five-year-old has previously won this race.

In the Ultima Handicap Chase at the Cheltenham Festival in March Corach Rambler weaved his way through the field to come up the hill and beat Gericault Roque (second), Oscar Elite (third), Our Power (fifth) and Lostintranslation (eighth).

Gericault Roque, Oscar Elite and Our Power all raced from out of the handicap that day; Oscar Elite's effort in particular is noteworthy in that he lost second spot in the shadow of the post and was later reported to have bled from the nose.  

Both Gericault Roque and Oscar Elite are weighted to reverse that form - Lucinda Russell's charge is usually given a hold-up ride and recent renewals of this race have tended to go to horses that have raced with the pace. 

Threeunderthrufive has drifted noticeably in the betting and sports first-time cheekpieces having finished third behind Proschema in the West Yorkshire Hurdle four weeks ago (Oscar Elite fifth); Proschema didn't advertise the form when pulled up behind Champ in the Long Distance Hurdle earlier today.

Two who will appreciate the ground are Lord Accord and Our Power.

The former ran well behind Frodon in the Badger Beers at Wincanton last month (Potterman sixth) while Our Power won the Bateaux London Gold Cup at Ascot (Annsam seventh). I was impressed with that effort as I wasn't convinced the gelding would stay the three mile trip.

Sam Thomas has since said:

"There is no question about him staying - I have no doubt at all he'll stay further than three and a quarter miles."

Annsam was a little too fresh for his own good at Ascot and can improve but it's difficult to know what to expect from Lostintranslation.

Connections try a visor on Potterman who slipped early in the Badger Beers and took some time to regain his confidence. Alan King's charge likes top of the ground; writing in the Weekender, the trainer says:

"He shaped as though he'd benefit from headgear so he schooled in a visor on Monday and looked sharp. It would clearly need quite a transformation to make him a major contender on Saturday but it might just help him." 

Fanion D'Estruval races beyond two miles five furlongs for the first time while both Diablo Du Rouhet and Red Happy race from out of the handicap.  

It's possible to make the case for several in the field; from the Ultima form, the two on my shortlist are Oscar Elite and Our Power.

As the former has yet to win a chase and the latter likes the ground, Our Power is the each-way suggestion, 11/1 with Sky Bet who are paying one fifth the odds six places.

4 comments:

TW said...

Coral Gold Cup Handicap Chase

VFR,WC%,Horse
169,19.77,OUR POWER(IRE)
168,16.05,LORD ACCORD(IRE)
167,11.01,CORACH RAMBLER(IRE)
168,8.85,GERICAULT ROQUE(FR)
166,7.31,LE MILOS(GB)
170,6.52,REMASTERED(GB)
170,5.92,LOSTINTRANSLATION(IRE)
166,5.84,FANION D'ESTRUVAL(FR)
166,5.55,POTTERMAN(GB)
168,4.06,FIDDLERONTHEROOF(IRE)
165,3.12,BUSSELTON(FR)
165,2.06,THREEUNDERTHRUFIVE(IRE)
168,0.99,OSCAR ELITE(IRE)
167,0.99,ANNSAM(GB)
162,0.99,RED HAPPY(FR)
165,0.99,DIABLO DE ROUHET(FR)

Form study delayed by unseasonable World Cup football matches. Not withstanding that we’ve ended up with the same selection, though never sure if that is a good thing or not from your perspective!

The system refined the Hennessy down to Our Power [OP] and Lord Accord, the latter probably ticks more of the boxes given there is that slight question mark over the trip for OP but the system sees more potential in OP and that swayed it. 12/1 5 places 1/5 odds for me.

Good luck!

TW

GeeDee said...

Form study with World Cup distractions - difficult, isn't it?

When we arrive at the same selection, TW, I feel a certain sense of vindication - I must have done something right...

Good luck!

GeeDee said...

Bah.

See Our Power now declared a non-runner.

GeeDee said...

Disappointed to see Our Power declared a non-runner.

In the event the three horses identified as requiring more cut underfoot were the first three home...

Threeunderthrufive came to grief at the first and, running loose, caused his fair share of disruption throughout the race.

Le Milos, backed into 9/2 favourite, led from three out but faced strong challenges from two of the David Pipe-trained runners in the closing stages; Remastered (7/1) finished second, Gericault Roque (13/2) third.

Corach Rambler (11/1) made significant headway up the home straight to claim fourth with Irish raider Busselton (15/2) weakening from two out to finish fifth.

Oscar Elite (9/1) made my shortlist but couldn't hold a prominent pitch in the early stages. He made some late headway but then faded out of contention to eventually come home tenth.