Fourteen have been declared for tomorrow's bet365 Gold Cup (3.30 Sandown), with four - Ask Brewster, Montregard, Our Power and Road To Home - re-routed here having being withdrawn from last Saturday's Scottish Grand National at Ayr on account of the heavy ground. Gabby's Cross took his chance in that race seven days ago but didn't jump well and was eventually pulled up.
The going at the Esher track is described as good, good to firm in places, with jockeys at today's Flat meeting reporting plenty of watering has taken place.
Five weeks ago Havaila beat Some Scope seven lengths in a handicap chase at Newbury off a mark of 116. To quote from Richard Russell's analysis of the race in the RP Weekender:
"HAVAILA went through this like a dream, comfortably called the winner a long way out, with a monster leap at the last not needed but still impressive."
16 days later Gary and Josh Moore's charge, racing off 125, won the Sussex National at Plumpton 'readily' over an extended three and a half miles (Transmission nine lengths back in third). The chestnut has been described as a similar type to former stablemate and Welsh Grand National winner Nassalam (now with Tom Ellis); after that win jockey Caoilin Quinn said:
"Havaila travels very strongly and jumps superbly. He seems to love this better ground and he's still on the up."
Havaila - now rated 135 over fences, 71 on the Flat - still holds an entry in next month's Chester Cup for which he is quoted a 66/1 chance with Paddy Power...
This afternoon In D'Or and Montregard are challenging Havaila for favouritism.
Favourites do not have a good record in this race; since Mr Frisk in 1990, only one outright market leader has obliged - Kitty's Light in 2023.
Bought out of the David Maxwell dispersal sale for £220,000, In D'Or has run twice for current connections, finishing third to Welcom To Cartries at this track in December and then third behind The Jukebox Kid at Ascot in January (Montregard second, last week's Scottish Grand National winner Kap Vert fourth).
In D'Or won the 2025 renewal of that Ascot race off 125; although weighted to reverse recent form with Montregard, his current mark of 137 looks high enough to me, while his run when sixth behind Haiti Couleurs in the 2025 National Hunt Challenge Cup at Cheltenham (Rock My Way second, Resplendent Grey fourth, Transmission fifth) hints that this trip may test the limits of his stamina.
On two other trips to Ascot this season Montregard has come home in front on both occasions, last time off a mark of 128 (Invincible Nao beaten over 30 lengths in sixth). He is now 16 pounds higher than in the autumn and tries this trip for the first time; trainer Tom Lacey thinks he will stay.
Just over six weeks ago Ask Brewster held Road To Home a neck on good ground in the Kim Muir at Cheltenham run over an extended three and a quarter miles; after five starts Willie Mullins' charge remains a maiden over fences but on revised terms here is weighted to come home ahead of Ask Brewster.
Resplendent Grey won last year's renewal of this race carrying 10-02 off a mark of 142 - one pound out of the handicap; Olly Murphy's charge tries to repeat the feat this year carrying top weight off a mark ten pounds higher and conceding a minimum of eight pounds to all his rivals.
The grey didn't jump well behind Panic Attack in the Coral Gold Cup at Newbury in November and connections replace the blinkers tried in the Ultima with cheekpieces. He is the best horse in a substandard renewal.
Sporting a first time visor Transmission beat Rock My Way 12 lengths in the Edinburgh National at Musselburgh at the beginning of February but next time was outpaced by Havaila coming to the last in the Sussex National.
A horse aged either seven or eight has won nine of the past ten renewals.
Back in November Rock My Way won the Berkshire National at Ascot off 131 and last time gave Isaac Des Obeaux six pounds and a right run for his money in the Midlands Grand National at Uttoxeter, eventually conceding defeat on the run-in, beaten eight lengths.
Joe Tizzard and Brendan Powell should have a reasonable idea where they stand with Rock My Way in relation to Livin On Luco as Rivers Corner pipped that one a short head at Exeter five weeks ago. Team Tizzard are going through a quiet spell although Striking A Pose made all to win at Newton Abbot last week and West Orchard has won the V2 Radio Handicap Hurdle at Fontwell this evening.
Livin On Luco won the Southern National at Fontwell in November and finished a respectable fourth behind Haiti Couleurs in the Welsh National but was well beaten behind Anglers Crag in the Eider; the slightly shorter trip here should help.
Henry's Friend won at Ascot on seasonal reappearance but has been a bit disappointing since; connections fit cheekpieces for the first time, with handler Ben Pauling saying he has been trained for this race.
Our Power, 20 lengths behind Rock My Way in the Berkshire National, hasn't won for over three years and this season in particular has appeared out of sorts; potentially well handicapped if returning to some sort of form, he sports first-time blinkers.
Certainly Red has always had a soft spot for Sandown.
Lydia Richards' veteran finished seventh behind Kitty's Light in the 2023 running of this race and a close-up fourth behind Minella Cocooner the following year. After a protracted spell on the sidelines he came home a very third creditable third behind Calimystic at this track last month despite jumping left on occasions; now 12 years of age, younger rivals are likely to have a bit more toe.
Invincible Nao, stablemate of Havaila, runs from two pounds out of the handicap.
Livin On Luco and Rock My Way are on the shortlist; both looked to have hard enough races last time out. Philip Hobbs won this with Lacdoudal (rated 152) in 2006 and Monkerhostin (rated 153) in 2008 but, on balance, I prefer the form of Rock My Way and hope he can run his race after those exertions in the Midlands Grand National.
Rock My Way is the each-way suggestion, 14/1 generally, with most layers paying four places.
Footnote:
Two I'll monitor in the Novices' Championship Final (1.45 Sandown) are Race To Base and Desertmore News.
The former beat Captain Hugo in a Hereford bumper this time last year and finished fifth in a Uttoxeter maiden on seasonal debut. The winner, De Temps En Temps, is now rated 126, second Tiptoptim finished third in the Challow behind No Drama This End, and fourth Marsiac is on 127. After he won next time (again at Hereford) jockey Sam Twiston-Davies said: "He's very quick, one of the pacier ones at home, so it wouldn't be a surprise to see him stay at the minimum trip." Pulled up on his first run for new connections over 2m 4f on soft ground, he has undergone wind surgery since.
After the latter won a novice hurdle at Sedgefield last month, handler Tom Ellis said: "We probably pitched Desertmore News in a bit too deep at Kempton [the Dovecote] but I do hope he's going to get to that level at some point. It might well be when he has fences in front of him, but the final of the series will be the aim for now. He's a big, scopey type who likes nice ground and is very straightforward - it's exciting."
