Friday, February 08, 2008

Newbury and Warwick

There's an intriguing card at Newbury tomorrow. In the Aon Chase Denman has just the three opponents and will start long odds on - it's a race to watch rather than bet on.

In the Game Spirit, due off at 2.10, Champion Chase contender Voy Por Ustedes would appear to have a favourite's chance. Those looking for value may be tempted by Paul Nicholls' rising star Master Minded. On official handicap ratings MM has seven pounds to find. Last year Voy fell in this race; I'll back Master Minded provided he's priced around the 3/1 mark.

As always, the totesport Trophy Hurdle is incredibly difficult with twenty four going to post. My two each-way shouts against the field are the horses that finished a length and a neck behind Five Dream last time out - Donald McCain's Mohayer and David Pipe's Whispered Promises. At the time of writing, Five Dream is priced as a 7/2 favourite in places while Mohayer is 22/1 with Corals and Whispered Promises a 10/1 shot.

I haven't totally given up on Here's Johnny as a longhsot with a chance for the Royal and Sun Alliance Chase next month. He's priced at 20/1 for that race; he'll need to take the 1.35 to be in with a chance at Cheltenham.

Over at Warwick the Kingmaker (2.25) is no foregone conclusion. Charlie Mann's Moon Over Miami takes in this race as a preparation for the Arkle and will probably start favourite. I'm not convinced the short home straight will be right up his street. Kruguyrova looks weighted to reverse last month's defeat by Big Buck's and on official handicap ratings also has the beating of MOM - Kruguyrova is the selection.

1 comment:

GeeDee said...

Denman (1/4f) won in the manner you'd expect of a horse sent off at that price. It seems pedantic to note he missed out one on the far side and the cross fence on the second circuit. He's second favourite for the Gold Cup and rightly so.
Master Minded was never available at 3/1 but, sent off 7/4, he jumped beautifully to beat the current champion two miler five lengths. That result has shaken up the Champion Chase market.
In the totesport Trophy Hurdle Whispered Promises (8/1) led on the far side but beat a hasty retreat from three out to finish fifteenth. Mohayer (16/1) on the other hand came to the second last with every chance, was outpaced behind 14/1 winner Wingman, but finished a very creditable fourth - each-way backers will see some return for this effort.
Here's Johnny (15/8f) jumped poorly in the novice chase and was pulled up; it's back to the drawing board in search of a Sun Alliance bet.
The mare Kruguyrova (5/2) led from the start and ran on gamely to hold Ring The Boss a neck at the line in the Kingmaker. Charlie Egerton indicated she'll go for the Arkle now.
I wouldn't write off Moon Over Miami on the basis of this run. I've seen this horse get turned over before as he's too fresh and there was more than a hint that that was what happened here; the trainer said as much before the race and Cheltenham is a course that will be much more to MOM's liking. Ring The Boss ran a race full of promise on his first chase outing and looks one for the notebook.