Over at Newton Abbot the Lord Mildmay Memorial Handicap Chase has added prize money of £35000. Many of the runners are fairly well exposed. Peter Bowen will have targetted this race for Iron Man and Tommy Spar; of these two I prefer the former who ran out when in the lead in the Galway Plate. Chilling Place would be dangerous if sorting out his jumping problems while bottom weight Kings Brook won this last year but has disappointed recently. I tend to prefer an up and coming chaser for this; I respect Iron Man but will take an each way chance with Paul Nicholls' Forest Green who is unexposed and 'could be anything' as the saying goes.
Friday, August 31, 2007
Chester and Newton Abbot selections
Bauer has been discussed in a previous post and according to early tissue shows is put in as the 3/1 favourite for the 2.50 at Chester tomorrow. The race is no foregone conclusion; I'm concerned by the horse's tendency to race mid-division or off the pace as Chester is a sharp track that favours those racing prominently. Still, I'm sure jockey Eddie Ahern will be aware of the dangers - I see Bauer going close. Only six go to post in the Conditions Stakes at 4.00 with the York Gimcrack form represented by Imperial Mint and Nacho Libre. Imperial Mint is the top rated horse on official figures and gets the vote.
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Bauer was sent off 11/8 favourite and served up a decent performance to win going away. Imperial Mint shared 5/2 favouritism with two of the other five runners and won his race convincingly.
Over at Newton Abbot I'd expected Forest Green to be sent off a bigger price than the eventual SP of 5/1. The horse led over the last only to be collared in the shadow of the post by last year's winner Kings Brook, a 12/1 shot. Nonetheless this was a noteworthy performance by the five year old Forest Green. For the record, Iron Man (4/1) finshed fourth.
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