Monday, December 30, 2019

The final fling for 2019

I've given far too much of my money to the bookmakers over the past decade but it looks like it'll be business as usual tomorrow when I make the short journey to Warwick for their New Year's Eve card.

Moderate fare on offer at the track and the same turn of phrase can readily be used about the abridged notes below.

Emmas Joy carries a penalty in the mares' novice hurdle (12.55). Dan Skelton has said of his charge:

"...she's definitely got a future in the game. I've got some big ambitions for her..."

On Racing Post ratings the Paul Nicholls trained Cill Anna has six pounds to find but the first time tongue-tie might help bring about improvement. Rose Of Aghaboe beat Wynn House and Meep Meep Mag here over two miles on her penultimate run; that form reads well but she was well beaten at Lingfield the last day and steps up in trip. Misaps is a big mare who ran well here two and a half weeks ago; she makes some appeal as an each-way play but Emma Lavelle has said Thoor Castle 'needs three miles and plenty of give underfoot'.

In the two mile handicap chase (1.30) top weight Comber Mill is better over hurdles than fences. Last year's winner Lightentertainment is getting on a bit now; he ran poorly last time out and is tried in blinkers. Favourite Seeanythingyoulike is still a maiden and looks a tad one-paced; I'll play Battleofthesomme whose profile looks more consistent than that of Agentleman.

In my book the favourite for the veterans' handicap chase (2.00) Troubled Soul doesn't stay the trip; on Racing Post ratings Uhlan Bute wins. Water Wagtail would prefer better ground; High Counsel gets the vote.

At Taunton last month Redmond finished three and a quarter lengths behind Adherence with Write It Down third, Seeanythingyoulike fourth (runs at 1.30) and Arquebusier fifth; that piece of form is worth looking at in relation to the two and half mile handicap chase at 3.10. Arquebusier  likes to front-run and landed last year's renewal but made a number of niggling errors at Taunton. Top Decision ran well last time out and rates an each-way play at around 9/1.

The concluding bumper looks a lot more intriguing than much of the preceding entertainment.Wilde About Oscar's chance has been highlighted by Ask A Honey Bee at Haydock earlier today. Scarpia, Hurrricane Mitch and Wireless Operator make their racecourse debuts for respected stables. Mint Condition is of interest on the back of his third here in October; the winner of that race, Soaring Glory, has gone in again since and finished second in an Ascot listed race behind Israel Champ. Israel Champ is currently priced up favourite for the Cheltenham bumper in March. The trouble is those bookmaker chaps aren't taking too many chances here, pricing up Jennie Candish's charge an 11/1 chance... 

2 comments:

Anonymous said...

Fizzlestix could out-run his current 12/1 odds off a mark of 100 if he does not bounce on his second run back after a lengthy lay-off.

Trainer Chris Gordon states:

Tomorrow we have one runner at Warwick in the 2.35 which is the 3m2f LPS Handicap Hurdle (Challenger Stayers' Hurdle Series Qualifier) with Fizzlestix. He is a horse that was a progressive staying hurdler in early 2018 on various ground and his current handicap mark of 100 appeals on that previous form. He ran a creditable race to finish sixth at Plumpton last month after a lengthy absence and he could show the benefit of that outing tomorrow. Jamie Moore rides him for owner Mrs C New. Good luck boy and come home safe.

Good luck!

TW

GeeDee said...

01.01.20

An enjoyable day at Warwick's New Year's Eve meet with four winners shared among our group; mixing with revelers, I would say it looked a long odds-on chance that many of them would fail to see in the new year at midnight.

Paul Nicholls doesn't send many runners to this track; his Cill Anna (7/2) ran down Emmas Joy (10/11f) after the last in the mares' novice hurdle while Jeremy Scott recorded a notable double with Seeyanythingyoulike (9/2) and Urtheonethatiwant (4/1f); the former chalked up his maiden win in some style, going to the head of affairs half a mile from home and sauntering to a 21 length victory while the latter had put the stayers' hurdle to bed before two out. A word too for Fizzlestix (12/1) who raced prominently for much of the trip in that long distance hurdle before fading from the second last; he finished fifth.

Mr McCoy was in attendance; of the three McManus runners Go As You Please (6/1) fared best, coming home second in the opener, six lengths behind Galtee Mountain (9/1) who did not go unbacked.

Mint Condition was a non-runner in the bumper but I see Truckers Pass has let the form down somewhat trying to concede seven pounds (in the form of Bryan Carver's allowance) to 16/1 chance Tile Tapper at Exeter today.

Wilde About Oscar (2/1f) looked a bit of a handful during the paddock preliminaries but there was never a moment's worry on the track as he scooted clear off the home turn to score by nine lengths.