Friday, September 12, 2008

Saturday's St Legers

Two St Legers for the price of one tomorrow, with Doncaster hosting the English version at 3.10 and the Curragh the Irish version at 3.35.

On official ratings Look Here looks the one for the English contest; her performance last time out in the Oaks was impressive. She has been backed during the week and is currently a 4/1 shot which is just about right. If I have a reservation, it's the fact that she has been off the track for ninety nine days. Over the years Sir Michael Stoute's failure to win this race has generated plenty of column inches. His Patkai was ante-post favourite for a long time but the horse was not declared, presumably on account of the soft going. Nonetheless the trainer still fields three of the fourteen runners - Doctor Fremantle, Conduit and Warringah. Ryan Moore had the choice, eventually selecting Doctor Fremantle, fourth in this year's Derby, over Conduit, but you suspect it was a close call. Moore has been quoted as saying he's gone with the Doctor on account of the ground; Frankie Dettori picks up the plum spare on Conduit. Ballydoyle field four, including 2/1 favourite Frozen Fire; Aidan O'Brien has expressed some doubts about his charge's ability to last the trip. I can't help but feel the value has gone about the horses I particularly like - Doctor Fremantle and Look Here. Doctor Fremantle is now generally a 7/1 shot; he was 10/1 earlier in the week when he made some appeal as an each-way wager. That being the case, on grounds of value, I'll support Look Here to collect the spoils.

At the Curragh Ballydoyle's Septimus will start long odds on; Yellowstone each way at around 12/1 is the selection. The horse's intended appointment at York was washed away; he took his chance in the rearranged Ebor, the Newburgh Heritage Handicap at Newbury, which was far from ideal. He ran well enough there to finish third carrying nine stones ten pounds and has reasonable prospects of making a place here.

Back at Doncaster seven furlongs and easy going are right up Major Cadeaux's street and he gets the vote in the 3.45.

1 comment:

GeeDee said...

Conduit (8/1) broke Sir Michael Stoute's hoodoo in the St Leger in fine style, bursting clear of his field to win impressively, despite wandering around at the final furlong marker. Unsung Heroine chased him all the way while Look Here, backed in to 11/4, had every chance but stayed on at the one pace to finish third, completely blown away by the winner.
Over in Ireland Septimus won as he liked. The pacemaker went off with the choke out; Yellowstone (12/1) raced in fourth but swiftly went backwards from five out, finding absolutely nothing. This run was too bad to be true.
A shedload of money for Major Cadeaux (5/4f) and it all stayed in the bookies' satchels as the favourite made up plenty of ground in the final furlong but couldn't go past 9/1 shot Arabian Gleam who had half a length in hand at the post.