Saturday, July 14, 2007

Stratford and Perth selections

Three horses highlighted in the recent 'Summer jumpers' post run tomorrow, Soliya and Capitana at Stratford and Commercial Express at Perth.

Soliya beat Callisto Moon six lengths over course and distance at level weights last time out; the pair renew rivalry in the juvenile hurdle at 2.00, Soliya now having to carry a 5lbs penalty. It looks a close call but I take David Pipe's Soliya to confirm the form.

Nicky Henderson's Capitana runs in a very competitive looking Coventy Telegraph Handicap Hurdle at 3.00. As the price is unlikely to offer any value for money, I'd advise abstaining on this occasion. A better value proposition here may be Hawridge King each way at 10/1 or bigger - this horse ran a decent race last time out at Hereford after a lengthy spell on the sidelines.

Up at Perth Commercial Express runs in the novice chase at 2.40 but appears to have a bit to find with Vaughan and Contact Dancer, the former getting the vote on account of his better jumping.


GeeDee said...

Sometimes you wonder why you bother.
In the first at Stratford Soliya (6/4 favourite) failed to confirm form with Callisto Moon (5/2) but it proved academic as they were both beaten by 33/1 shot Tension Point.
If there's a worse feeling in racing than backing a loser, it's missing a winner and that's exactly what happened with Capitana who obliged at 8/1; when I wrote the post yesterday evening the RP forecast Capitana 9/2 favourite... Hawridge King (8/1) unseated Tom Scudamore at the second.
The makeup of the novice chase at Perth changed markedly with the withdrawal of likely favourite Vaughan. Commercial Express (4/1) beat Contact Dancer (3/1) by three quarters of a length, Timmy Murphy doing well to get his mount up close home after losing his irons two out.
Still, spare a thought this evening for Kieren Fallon who missed the ride on Irish Oaks winner Peeping Fawn at The Curragh after a bad looking fall at Longchamp yesterday.

TO said...

Hi GeeDee,

Great site! I'm emailing to ask if you're interested in exchange links with our racing tips blog. We specialise in analysing two year olds running over the flat and have built up a good following in a short period of time.



GeeDee said...

Thanks, Jason. Happy to include link under 'Paddock Bar' section - job done :-)