Eleven declared for tomorrow's December Gold Cup, to be run this year as The Hunt Family Fund December Gold Cup in support of the fund set up by BBC racing commentator John Hunt and his daughter Amy in memory of Carol, John's wife, and daughters Hannah and Louise.
The going in Gloucestershire is currently described as good to soft; curmudgeonly, perhaps, given recent rains, but the forecast sunshine is likely to prove problematic and may well lead to fences being omitted.
Favourite Jagwar won the TrustATrader Plate Handicap Chase over course and distance at the Festival in March. He missed his intended return in the Paddy Power Gold Cup four weeks ago on account of heavy ground and shows up here surrounded by whispers he could be a Graded level performer.
His rivals may possess a race-fitness edge but the gelding tends to travel well through a race and clearly has an engine; the jumping isn't always foot perfect though while the stable is just starting to emerge from a quiet spell - Passing Pleasure won at Musselburgh on Monday and Gamesters Guy beat sole rival Moon Rocket (1/3f) in the opener at Doncaster earlier today.
Although run over a slightly shorter trip on the Old Course, last month's Paddy Power Gold Cup is a pertinent piece of form.
Vicenzo and Hoe Joly Smoke finished second and third respectively behind Panic Attack, with Il Ridoto eighth - beaten 16 lengths - and Es Perfecto pulled up before the last, jockey Tom Bellamy reporting the gelding stopped quickly.
On revised terms Vicenzo and Hoe Joly Smoke look closely matched.
The latter, ridden by Kielan Woods last time as stable jockey Harry Skelton was aboard the winner, made a mistake two out which may just have cost him second place. Having won over three miles, Hoe Joly Smoke is likely to benefit from the greater emphasis the New Course places on stamina but perhaps wouldn't be best suited by fences being omitted.
Five-year-old Kim Roque, second in the Listed Grand Steeple-Chase de Dieppe in the summer, has his second start for Joseph O'Brien since moving from Daniela Mele's yard in France.
On his first start for current connections he finished three lengths behind Kdeux Saint Fray over two and a half miles on the Old Course four weeks ago; he runs off a mark three pounds out of the handicap.
Since 2000 only two runners younger than six have come home in front - Unioniste (2012) and Frodon (2016), both four-year-olds and both trained by Paul Nicholls.
I have to say I was impressed with Colonel Harry's victory in the Grand Sefton five weeks ago - was there even a hint he had more up his sleeve?
Sixth behind Grey Dawning in the 2024 Turners at the Festival, he would probably prefer a bit more cut underfoot, but he has only been raised four pounds for that win over the National fences..
Stablemate and top weight Ga Law won the 2022 Paddy Power Gold Cup and finished second behind Il Ridoto in the 2024 renewal of the same race.
Isabelle Ryder can claim seven but, much like my good self, he isn't getting any younger and these days is prone to make the odd mistake here and there.
Having watched a replay of last month's Paddy Power, I was struck by how open the race was as they turned for home. Il Ridoto, prominent throughout, had his chance, as indeed did Es Perfecto.
Il Ridoto goes off a mark of 141, the same mark off which he won last year's Paddy Power (although Freddie Gingell claimed three pounds).
On his Betfair blog this evening handler Paul Nicholls said:
"The more it dries out, the better for Il Ridoto, he's a good ground horse who has bits and pieces of form on the soft but doesn't really like it."
Imperial Saint showed a liking for the New Course when third behind Moon d'Orange in January.
Sent off 2/1 favourite at Aintree on seasonal debut seven weeks ago he disappointed, eventually finishing fifth. Subsequently the Racing Post reported Richard Johnson, manager of several syndicates, saying:
"[Imperial Saint] tweaked his backside before Aintree and and I think that's what got him upset before the race that day. He still ran okay but he definitely wasn't on his A-game. That's sorted now and I'd like to think he goes there with a decent chance."
Just by way of an aside I suffered a similar misfortune on a car park in Braintree some years ago and had to take three months off work.
The winners have been a while coming for Venetia Williams this season but the yard appears to have turned a corner - Djelo won the Peterborough Chase at Huntingdon on Sunday and Authodidcate won at Uttoxeter on Tuesday.
After a poor run in the Haldon Gold Cup - fifth of six, beaten 65 lengths - Martator hinted at a return to form when second behind Calico at Ascot three weeks ago. The fact the majority of his chase form is on right-handed tracks is a concern, although he did finish midfield behind Jazzy Matty in the Grand Annual at the Festival.
Glengouly faces a stiff task from seven pounds out of the handicap.
The 2025 Paddy Power Gold Cup wasn't the strongest renewal and similar comments apply to this race; 7/2 Jagwar could look a big price after the weigh-in.
I'm going to take a chance on Martator, the one to beat on Racing Post ratings. He has won over this trip and shouldn't be inconvenienced by drying conditions.
Martator is the each-way suggestion, 14/1 generally at the time of writing, with bet365, Paddy Power and Sky all paying four places.

2 comments:
Rtg,Horse,Tissue
168 VINCENZO(FR) 10/3
160 JAGWAR(FR) 7/1
159 HOE JOLY SMOKE(GB) 8/1
162 COLONEL HARRY(IRE) 9/1
164 KIM ROQUE(FR) 10/1
162 IMPERIAL SAINT(FR) 11/1
160 IL RIDOTO(FR) 14/1
158 GA LAW(FR) 20/1
156 MARTATOR(FR) 25/1
156 ES PERFECTO(IRE) 25/1
152 GLENGOULY(FR) 33/1
I'm sure Martator will run a good race and, like you, I'd not be surprised if Jagwar was a cut above the field. That said Vincenzo is 4lbs clear of the field on my ratings [but he will miss Dylan Johnston's 3lb claim], looked the likely winner in the Paddy Power until fluffing the last and 5/1 on the exchanges [win only] looked a bet.
Away from the big handicap I've had another bet that will not doubt look daft post race.
I’ve probably lost the plot but I can’t let Joker De Mai go off at odds of 50/1+. One of a number lightly raced horses in the field, he arguably had the best record over hurdles before turning his attention to hunter chases with the aim of winning the Foxhunters’ chase at Aintree Grand National meeting.
Having made the big race, all was going to plan until taking a nasty fall at the Chair; I think if he had got a clear round he was the likeliest winner.
Pulled up on his only subsequent start, sold for £90K at David Maxwell’s dispersal sale, first run for new connections, drop back to 2 miles looks a positive, if he has got over that bad Foxhunter experience and is fit enough after a 197 day absence to do himself justice those huge odds might look laughable at 14:30.
Good luck!
TW
Thanks for your ratings, TW.
I'm just putting the finishing touches to a cheat sheet for my daughter who goes to the track tomorrow. I'm going to include your detail about Joker De Mai. Couple with potential in the race but I thought 4/1 about JPR One a fair price; however, wouldn't play to his strengths if fences omitted.
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