Wednesday, April 29, 2009

Thoughts for Thursday's Punchestown card

Yesterday's post highlighted three selections and they all went and won; that was rather surprising - and highly unusual. If I were you I wouldn't bother reading any further - my next winner is probably due around mid-June. For those who just can't resist temptation, I'm going to carry on regardless...

I was so looking forward to tipping Punchestowns for Thursday's feature at Punchestown, the World Series Hurdle, but the horse spoiled the plan by picking up a problem earlier in the week and he stays at home. Only ten go to post but the race now has a particularly trappy look to it. Fiveforthree is plenty short enough in the betting for a horse that is having his first try at this trip; Ruby Walsh thinks his mount will get there but at the prices on offer I'm going to look elsewhere. Fair Along, along with the favourite, is joint top-rated in the race, yet is priced at around the 8/1 mark; on the downside Fair Along has had a long hard season and this race may be one too many. I don't particularly like Duc De Regniere who is a funny customer and not easy to catch right but he has won over the distance, comes from Nicky Henderson's in-form stable and is on offer at 18/1 with a couple of bookies this evening - that is big and on grounds of value alone looks worth an each-way interest.

In the Cathal Ryan Memorial Novice Chase at 6.40 Arkle winner Forpadydeplasterer is top-rated and looks the one they all have to beat.

Finally, for those who have to have a bet in the four and a quarter mile La Touche Cup, Silver Birch will be worthy of consideration. Although advanced in years, he was in the process of running a big race in the National when falling at Becher's second time around; that day he opened at 66/1, attracted a number of £500, £200 and £150 each-way bets, and went off at 40/1. Those sorts of prices are unlikely to be on offer tomorrow...

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