Friday, May 16, 2008

Newbury and Doncaster

Twelve go to post in a competitive-looking renewal of the Group 1 Juddmonte Lockinge Stakes at Newbury tomorrow. On official handicap ratings the seven year old Cesare is the the one to beat; the bookmakers make him their 3/1 favourite. On Racing Post ratings Godolphin's Creachadoir comes out best and the RP top-rated has won this four times in the last ten years; on the other hand the stable has been slow to find its form this season. I'm going to take a chance with Creachadoir - he's priced up at 11/2 in the early evening tissue show. In the same race the each-way value has to be Mick Channon's Majestic Roi. Dick Hunter has highlighted the horse's chance at 25/1 in the Weekender; at the time of writing he's a 20/1 shot.

In the preceding race at 2.10 Regal Flush is the one with something in hand over all his rivals. As in the Lockinge, I'm concerned about Saeed Bin Suroor's stable form but again I'm tempted to take the chance. Usually I'd spread the risk but on this occasion I'm going to back the two Godolphin runners - there have been a couple of encouraging signs in the past few days.

Moving to Doncaster's evening meeting I will have to have an each-way interest in the Tom Dascombe trained Parisian Gift at 8.20 as the registered owners are 'The PG Tipsters'. The horse has won over the specialist distance of seven furlongs, although this is the first time the gelding will have raced on ground so quick. The early show has the horse at 14/1 - if he wins, I'll get the tea bags out.


GeeDee said...

If you backed Creachadoir, I hope you did so in the morning and took the price - there was plenty of 6/1 around. On course the money really came for the Godolphin runner who was backed in from 5/1 to 3/1 favourite. In a muddling race run at a pedestrian pace over the first two to three furlongs, Dettori always had Creachadoir just off the pace; two out Frankie pressed the button and the favourite showed a nice turn of foot to win with the hint of something more to come. The form may be suspect and the time unimpressive but this looked good enough to me, particularly as the sweat between the colt's hind legs at the start didn't do much for the confidence. There was plenty of each-way money for Mick Channon's Majestic Roi, eventuaully sent off at 11/1, but the filly never got into it, finishing tenth of the eleven runners. I think she's better than she showed here and would forgive her this run.
Regal Flush went off 11/10 favourite in the 2.10. A canny front-running ride from Ted Durcan on Henry Cecil's charge Tranquil Tiger (5/1) saw the 'jolly' easily held by ten lengths.
There was never any fear of having to get the tea caddy out as Parisian Gift (11/2) finished a well-beaten sixth at Doncaster, weakening markedly in the final furlong. Perhaps this is as good as he is.

Anonymous said...

Ah well, there I was with Cesare...never mind.