tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-25292190.post7187338485109824539..comments2024-03-24T15:26:37.931+00:00Comments on PG's Tips: Cheltenham Trials Day 2019 - The Cleeve Hurdle GeeDeehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09834633278297488704noreply@blogger.comBlogger4125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-25292190.post-82192121062714754712019-01-26T23:36:06.969+00:002019-01-26T23:36:06.969+00:00Lil Rockerfeller (20/1) and Sam Spinner (11/1) rac...Lil Rockerfeller (20/1) and Sam Spinner (11/1) raced at the head of affairs for much of the three mile trip; the lead changed hands at various points but the pair were still in there with a shout approaching two out. <br /><br />West Approach (20/1) raced in fifth / sixth position but pilot Tom Scudamore took much closer order from the second last and coming off the home bend claimed the running rail and pushed the selection into the lead. <br /><br />He didn't stay there for very long though as Paisley Park (100/30f), who had looked in some trouble half a mile from home, made significant headway and with an impressive turn of foot took up the running before the last to win as he liked by twelve lengths; West Approach finished second with Black Op (11/2) third.<br /><br />A word for the two leaders who went hard up front - Sam Spinner came home fourth and Lil Rockerfeller fifth.<br /><br />Before this race Paisley Park was quoted a 12/1 chance for the Stayers' Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival in March; this evening he is best-priced 7/2. William Hill offered a stand-out 6/1 about the winner straight after this race but now offer just 2/1.GeeDeehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09834633278297488704noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-25292190.post-29172397607904861152019-01-26T15:46:24.848+00:002019-01-26T15:46:24.848+00:00No match for the impressive winner but a grand eff...No match for the impressive winner but a grand effort by West Approach.<br /><br />TWAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-25292190.post-23307392858961333212019-01-26T08:44:19.734+00:002019-01-26T08:44:19.734+00:00Agree with your points about the ground, TW. Good ...Agree with your points about the ground, TW. Good luck! GeeDeehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09834633278297488704noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-25292190.post-57094174068954746702019-01-26T07:49:38.846+00:002019-01-26T07:49:38.846+00:00I took a similar approach in using the Long Walk a...I took a similar approach in using the Long Walk as a guide for this but, you may be pleased to hear, drawn a different conclusion as to where the value lay.<br /><br />With only 8lb between the field on RP ratings it looks a competitive renewal and given the 6lb swing with <b>Paisley Park</b> [PP] and the current odds it is easy to see why you have opted for <b>West Approach</b> [WA] as your EW selection.<br /><br />The horse I’ve taken from the Long Walk is <b>The Mighty Don</b> [TMD]. He also has a 6lb swing with PP so should hopefully get a bit closer to him today, but he does have 5 ½ lengths to find with WA.<br /><br />My positives for TMD are the course [PP disappointed at the festival and WA has not won in 12 starts at the venue]. The ground, there are quite a few strips of ‘Good’ in the Turf Trax course map and I’m hoping the forecast rain stays away until as late as possible this P.M; TMD looks a better horse the better the ground, whereas the going in the Long Walk would have, IMO, suited PP and WA that bit better. Finally, as a 7yo, he still looks to have further improvement in him particularly at this trip.<br /><br />TMD 33/1 [4 places 1/5 odds].<br /><br />Good luck!<br /><br />TW<br />Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com