tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-25292190.post6132281892469241619..comments2024-03-24T15:26:37.931+00:00Comments on PG's Tips: Cheltenham November meeting 2020 - an outsider in the GreatwoodGeeDeehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09834633278297488704noreply@blogger.comBlogger3125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-25292190.post-90863588459665252572020-11-15T16:17:33.251+00:002020-11-15T16:17:33.251+00:00Selection Cormier (18/1) never threatened to make ...Selection Cormier (18/1) never threatened to make a place but put in a respectable effort on his first run in a handicap, finishing seventh, some 12 lengths behind bottom weight (and well-backed) Irish-trained winner The Shunter (13/2). Ballyandy (8/1) came home three lengths adrift in second with 4/1f Tegerek third (played up at the start) and Hunters Call (16/1) fourth.<br /><br />Harambe (16/1) looked to be in with every chance when coming to grief at the last while Ballinsker (25/1) showed up well, leading for much of the trip before giving way three from home and then gradually fading up the hill; he finished a length and a half ahead of the selection in sixth and handled the the ground better than I'd expected.GeeDeehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09834633278297488704noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-25292190.post-80263819147925036262020-11-15T09:03:20.936+00:002020-11-15T09:03:20.936+00:00Thanks for providing your ratings, TW. You've ...Thanks for providing your ratings, TW. You've made a good case for Harambe - that was a nasty incident at Newbury back in February.<br /><br />With Milkwood now a non-runner and the extra places disappearing faster than my betting bank, I'll chance <b>Cormier</b> ahead of Ballinsker on the back of this Brain Ellison quote reported in the RP:<br /><br /><i>"He's surprised me with what he's done since going hurdling and he'll love soft ground. He's a very good jumper, so I'm not too concerned about stepping out of novice company."</i><br /><br />Oddschecker indicate William Hill offer 22/1 at this moment in time and also pay five places which looks out of kilter with the rest of the market.<br /> <br />Good luck!GeeDeehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09834633278297488704noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-25292190.post-43019515315297111402020-11-15T07:53:11.678+00:002020-11-15T07:53:11.678+00:00Siruh Du Lac was very unlucky yesterday, if Tom ha...Siruh Du Lac was very unlucky yesterday, if Tom had been able be able to stay in the saddle...who knows what might have been?<br /><br />The going at Cheltenham this morning is <i>Chase course Soft Hurdle course Soft, heavy in places.</i> and as a result Sebastopol, Pisgah Pike, <b>Milkwood</b> & Thyme White are all non-runners because of the easing ground...there may be more.<br /><br />RTG,Horse,WC<br />172,Harambe(Gb),17.5<br />170,Ballyandy(Gb),10.9<br />167,Proschema(Ire),9.7<br />169,Sir Psycho(Ire),9.4<br />170,Countister(Fr),8.4<br />172,Edwardstone(Gb),8.1<br />169,Tegerek(Fr),7.8<br />172,Cormier(Ire),7.7<br />171,The Shunter(Ire),5.2<br />170,Strong Glance(Gb),5.2<br />163,Hunters Call(Ire),4.7<br />163,Tudor City(Ire),3.8<br />169,Ballinsker(Ire),1.4<br />163,Thinking(Ire),0.2<br /><br />Alan King’s [AK] Edwardstone is at the head of the market but it is the yard’s second string and last year’s winner <b>Harambe</b> that tops the system output.<br /><br />Edwardstone is the less exposed of the two and AK appears quite bullish about the horse but the ground is a concern as he did not really appear to progress in two soft ground races after wining his first two starts last term.<br /><br />Conditions should be spot on for Harambe [last year’s going was Soft, Heavy in places]. He has an extra 6lbs to carry this year [143] but was in the process of running a big race off 1lb higher when last seen in the Betfair Hurdle at Newbury in February before being brought down at the last which provides some hope that he still has some progression in him and can cope with the rise in weight. <br /><br />The Newbury fall left its mark and he’s not been seen since. The 281 day absence is a cause of concern, he has not won when running after an absence of 60+ days but there are mitigating circumstances, brought down twice, a good third in the bumper at the Grand National meeting and running over 2 ½ miles which is possibly a bit further than he wants to go.<br /><br />The non-runners mean the enhanced places are under threat so it might be worth taking an EW chance that at 20/1 [3 places BET365] Harambe can outshine his more fancied stable mate.<br /><br />Good luck if you go in again on something else now <b>Milkwood</b> is a NR.<br /><br />TWAnonymousnoreply@blogger.com