tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-25292190.post4230663803010920045..comments2024-03-24T15:26:37.931+00:00Comments on PG's Tips: Caspian Caviar Gold Cup 2019GeeDeehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09834633278297488704noreply@blogger.comBlogger5125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-25292190.post-67667341877535262822019-12-15T08:54:43.224+00:002019-12-15T08:54:43.224+00:00Memo to self: -
A 1 point Each Way double on Impe...Memo to self: -<br /><br />A 1 point Each Way double on Imperial Presence and Midnightreferendum [assuming win to win, place to place, 5 places and 1/5 odds] would have shown a 36-point profit at SP and an 81.6-point profit at best early odds.<br /><br />Either would have helped offset the post-Christmas Credit Card Bill!<br /><br />TW<br />Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-25292190.post-21835218522372882252019-12-14T17:50:12.762+00:002019-12-14T17:50:12.762+00:00A respectable effort from Imperial Presence (33/1)...A respectable effort from Imperial Presence (33/1) who, as expected, took over the front-running role from Warthog (7/1) after the third and was still at the head of affairs three from home. The principals kicked on off the home bend with Warthog, Spiritofthegames (40/1) and Robin Des Foret (16/1) fighting out the finish. Bridget Andrews must have thought she had the spoils in the bag as she sent her charge on after the last but Warthog - known as a weak finisher - found something from somewhere to claw back the ground and win by a head with Robin Des Foret third.<br /><br />Cepage (5/1jf) and Imperial Presence jumped the last together but the joint favourite stayed on better to claim fourth with the selection fifth, beaten five and a quarter lengths with a further 19 lengths back to Not That Fuisse (7/1) in sixth.<br /><br />A fine effort too by TW's pick in the finale. Midnightreferendum (20/1) made her ground at the business end of the race to claim third spot behind Dame De Compagnie (2/1f) and Indefatigable (11/2).GeeDeehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09834633278297488704noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-25292190.post-77163374190970411042019-12-14T14:20:08.695+00:002019-12-14T14:20:08.695+00:00Cracking effort by your 50/1 shot Imperial Presenc...Cracking effort by your 50/1 shot Imperial Presence, well done.<br /><br />Perhaps another one for your ‘watch list’. Handicapper drops him another couple of lbs, Philip Hobbs pops Ben Jones on his back with a 5lb claim, smaller field handicap with an expected uncontested lead, place bet and wait to be paid out. If only it were so easy!<br /><br />TW<br />Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-25292190.post-29638527254371877502019-12-14T11:46:36.282+00:002019-12-14T11:46:36.282+00:00TW,
A topical, political selection; I like it.
S...TW,<br /><br />A topical, political selection; I like it.<br /><br />Solely for the sake of completeness, you understand, and following on from yesterday's excitement, I once again reproduce Alan King's comments from the Weekender:<br /><br />"This may be a bit hot for Midnightreferendum but she'll be all the better for her comeback run at Wincanton - she always needs a run - and will be suited by returning to two and a half miles."<br /><br />Generally 25s now.<br /><br />Good luck!<br />GeeDeehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09834633278297488704noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-25292190.post-78124263302133652222019-12-14T08:23:37.541+00:002019-12-14T08:23:37.541+00:00A band of rain passing over Cheltenham this mornin...A band of rain passing over Cheltenham this morning is likely to keep the going at Soft, Good to Soft (places). Lalor is a non-runner (going).<br /><br />The 2019 Caspian Caviar Gold Cup 2019 looks, as suggested by the market, a competitive renewal and I struggled to find an edge. I hope Imperial Presence runs well, I put a line through him because of my three strikes rule and that mark of 146 still looked a tad high.<br /><br />They say only a fool makes the same mistake twice. Alas my betting has fallen into this category more times than I’d care to share, and I may add to that tally today.<br /><br /><b>Midnightreferendum</b> [Alan King, Alexander Thorne…you can see the trap I’m falling in to] may not be the best mare in this field but she is only 2lbs behind the top rated on Racing Post ratings so certainly not the worst either. She perhaps has not been the most consistent performer but has a few nice pieces of form. Her Warwick win last April reads well with several winners coming out of the race and most posting an improved subsequent rating. Her defeat at Taunton in February when sent off joint favourite looks, at face value, disappointing but the 3 that finished in front of her that day have between them won 5 of their next 10 starts. Her second in the mares bumper at the 2018 Aintree Festival also reads quite well. She disappointed first time of this term but she did the same last year and then went out and won her next start so perhaps not too much of a worry.<br /><br />But the clinching factor is, again, the yards conditional jockey. On my system Alexander Thorne is, on recent rides, the best jockey in this race! The system utilises this and apportions part of his claim [a whopping 6lbs in this instance] to Midnightrefernedum’s rating. This results in the mare rocketing up the ratings, the system derived fair odds plummeting and suddenly the 33/1 available last night looks huge value. <br /><br />Exactly what happened with Praeceps yesterday and we know how that ended…<br /><br />Good luck!<br /><br />TW<br />Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com