tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-25292190.post2956869445212931323..comments2024-03-24T15:26:37.931+00:00Comments on PG's Tips: Case notes: Doncaster's Sky Bet Handicap Chase 2021GeeDeehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09834633278297488704noreply@blogger.comBlogger4125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-25292190.post-22556866911358931542021-01-30T18:57:34.132+00:002021-01-30T18:57:34.132+00:00Well...
A decent effort from selection Aye Right ...Well...<br /><br />A decent effort from selection Aye Right (8/1) who raced prominently with top weight Mister Malarkey (25/1) over the first couple of miles. Colin Tizzard's charge 'ballooned' a couple of obstacles along the way and, following a mistake at the tenth, slowly started to go backwards. <br /><br />Coming off the home turn the selection scooted into a clear lead with Cap Du Nord (4/1f) a live threat and outsider Takingrisks (40/1) staying on. In an eventful race to the line Aye Right's jock Callum Bewley dropped his whip three out while Cap Du Nord's chance of winning went with a blunder at the penultimate flight. <br /><br />Aye Right jumped the final fence in the lead but stout stayer Takingrisks was just getting up a head of steam and, even though Sean Quinlan appeared to drop a rein on the run-in, the partnership maintained their momentum to collar the leader in the final 100 yards and win by one and a quarter lengths with Cap Du Nord a further two and a half lengths away in third. Canelo (15/2) came home fourth with TW's each way pick One For The Team (5/1) finishing fifth.<br /><br />To conclude, a quote from Aye Right's trainer Harriet Graham:<br /><br />"I thought for a minute he might just hold on but he probably needs another two furlongs, he's an out-and-out stayer.<br /><br />"Callum dropped his whip and he's upset but that's racing and there will be a big one in him."GeeDeehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09834633278297488704noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-25292190.post-4395188338358387002021-01-30T15:41:31.164+00:002021-01-30T15:41:31.164+00:00Smashing effort from Aye Right.......well done.
T...Smashing effort from Aye Right.......well done.<br /><br />TWAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-25292190.post-80155012408400229192021-01-29T20:52:42.089+00:002021-01-29T20:52:42.089+00:00Thanks for your ratings and analysis, TW.
Intere...Thanks for your ratings and analysis, TW. <br /><br />Interesting comparisons with TF ratings and your comments about the form of the Nicholls yard. <br /><br />The weights favour Miranda in the mares' race (2.05) but I'm not tempted to play now.<br /><br />Good luck!GeeDeehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09834633278297488704noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-25292190.post-54991136504431222102021-01-29T20:41:03.267+00:002021-01-29T20:41:03.267+00:00Sky Bet Handicap Chase
RTG,Horse,WC%,Timeform,TW ...<b>Sky Bet Handicap Chase</b><br /><br />RTG,Horse,WC%,Timeform,TW v TF<br />178,ONE FOR THE TEAM(GB),44.7,166,12<br />172,GIVE ME A COPPER(IRE),16.1,163,9<br />173,AYE RIGHT(IRE),15.9,166,7<br />172,MUSICAL SLAVE(IRE),7.4,168,4<br />168,TAKINGRISKS(IRE),7.3,164,4<br />168,YORKHILL(IRE),4.1,164,4<br />173,BOLDMERE(GB),1.3,164,9<br />166,CANELO(IRE),1.1,165,1<br />168,MISTER MALARKY(GB),0.4,163,5<br />168,ROCKY'S TREASURE(IRE),0.4,161,7<br />166,THE BUTCHER SAID(IRE),0.4,163,3<br />168,CAP DU NORD(FR),0.4,169,-1<br />168,GUITAR PETE(IRE),0.4,166,2<br /><br />Most of the rain looks set to miss Doncaster so hopefully the ground will not get too testing.<br /><br />I’ve added two columns to the ratings this week, the Timeform rating [free from ATR for this race] and the difference between the TF rating and the system rating.<br /><br /><b>Aye Right</b> comes out quite well on the system and should hopefully run a big race.<br /><br />I wanted to go with <b>Give Me A Copper</b>, classy and lightly raced 20/1 looks big … but the system is worried that the yard’ form has dipped noticeably of late. A month ago 50%+ of the yard’ runners ran to form or better, in the last 14 days this has tailed off to under 25%. <br /><br />5 places, 1/5 odds in a 13 runner race is a big concession and given the System has doubts about the favourite this is a race I’d like to play in. I’ll not get rich but 1PT EW <b>One For The Team</b> at 5/1 1/5 odds 5 places is the bet.<br /><br />Good luck.<br /><br />TWAnonymousnoreply@blogger.com